 XGATARMA.FOR (mainpgm) Gennaio 2003
 GA estimate of k-regimes SETARMA subset lag model
 NOB,NAC,MSPAN,NBIT,NBIT1,NBIT2,NK,ICRI= 
        250    5   30    6    3    3    3    1
 NL,P2,P1,MAXIT,XETA,IX,IY,IZ= 
    50    .90   .010       300   .1000D+01       12347       12373       12377
 NP,NQ,NPLAG,NQLAG,NX,MCHRO,NM,NDYP= 
    10   10   10   10   41  394   31    5
 data input file
 USGNP-n250.txt                                                          
 data printout file
 USGNP-TARMA13-3e-reg-pm001-delay5-jan-march2016.txt                     
 //
 Time series Z statistics ZCOR : IEXIT     0
 Input data mean,sqm,var =   .1640D+01   .1140D+01   .1300D+01
 Data nm+1,nob dhm,ssql,var =   .1645D+01   .2193D+03   .1002D+01
 Autocorrelation function
     1.0000     .4857     .3427     .0905     .0017    -.1188
 //
 Exit FFB, ifault =    -1
              0 :   .00000D+00 ->   .12413D+01
              4 :   .12413D+01 ->   .12445D+01
              7 :   .12445D+01 ->   .12639D+01
             12 :   .12639D+01 ->   .12726D+01
             20 :   .12726D+01 ->   .13132D+01
             48 :   .13132D+01 ->   .13212D+01
            166 :   .13212D+01 ->   .13264D+01
            186 :   .13264D+01 ->   .13313D+01
            207 :   .13313D+01 ->   .13453D+01
            291 :   .13453D+01 ->   .13499D+01
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA  111
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .84783E+02      .76381E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .9028     .4616     .2373
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   79
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .49735E+02      .62956E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.0323     .4180     .3116
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA   30
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .17872E+02      .59574E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     2.5392    -.3874
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   229
 0000010000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000000000100100101100
 1111001110000001010
 delay parameter ND =     1
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
  1.5869 2.7289
 Ordine AR Lungo    9
 Ordine AR Lungo   18
 Ordine AR Lungo   15
 nobs per regime vector NJ
   111   79   30
 sum of squares per regime S2
    84.7831   49.7351   17.8721
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
     1
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     4
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
    10
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     9
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     0
 subset AR lags
 
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     3
 pooled ssq and var =        .15239E+03      .69268E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.30001E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.66002E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .134987D+01

    End genetic algorithm : iter, iter2 =        300       291
 ixfla1 =     0
     Migliore cromosoma   33  Fitn.Funct.  .13499E+01
 0000010000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000000000100100101100
 1111001110000001010000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 Pooled res. sum of squares, criterion     .152390D+03   -.300010D+00
              0 :   .00000D+00 ->   .12388D+01
              3 :   .12388D+01 ->   .12448D+01
              8 :   .12448D+01 ->   .12653D+01
             20 :   .12653D+01 ->   .12811D+01
             25 :   .12811D+01 ->   .13610D+01
             26 :   .13610D+01 ->   .13610D+01
             28 :   .13610D+01 ->   .13670D+01
             31 :   .13670D+01 ->   .13744D+01
             32 :   .13744D+01 ->   .13947D+01
             33 :   .13947D+01 ->   .14008D+01
             48 :   .14008D+01 ->   .14294D+01
             56 :   .14294D+01 ->   .14359D+01
             57 :   .14359D+01 ->   .14416D+01
             61 :   .14416D+01 ->   .14434D+01
             77 :   .14434D+01 ->   .14674D+01
             93 :   .14674D+01 ->   .14700D+01
            104 :   .14700D+01 ->   .14779D+01
            198 :   .14779D+01 ->   .14796D+01
            240 :   .14796D+01 ->   .14812D+01
            258 :   .14812D+01 ->   .14851D+01
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA   33
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .44344E+02      .13437E+01
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .4506     .3567
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   85
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .26613E+02      .31310E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .7802    -.2059     .1600     .4647    -.1937
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA  102
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .83798E+02      .82155E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.1192     .1142     .1000     .2712
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   238
 0000100000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000010000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111100001001
 0110001001011010101110000000
 delay parameter ND =     2
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
   .8168 1.6391
 Ordine AR Lungo   20
 Ordine AR Lungo   18
 Ordine AR Lungo   16
 nobs per regime vector NJ
    33   85  102
 sum of squares per regime S2
    44.3435   26.6134   83.7982
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
    10
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     3    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     4
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     7    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 pooled ssq and var =        .15476E+03      .70343E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.39547E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.87004E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .148509D+01

    End genetic algorithm : iter, iter2 =        300       258
 ixfla1 =     0
     Migliore cromosoma   12  Fitn.Funct.  .14851E+01
 0000100000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000010000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111100001001
 0110001001011010101110000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 Pooled res. sum of squares, criterion     .154755D+03   -.395474D+00
              0 :   .00000D+00 ->   .12971D+01
             10 :   .12971D+01 ->   .13327D+01
             16 :   .13327D+01 ->   .13539D+01
             19 :   .13539D+01 ->   .13677D+01
             27 :   .13677D+01 ->   .13679D+01
             32 :   .13679D+01 ->   .13768D+01
             38 :   .13768D+01 ->   .13985D+01
             64 :   .13985D+01 ->   .14032D+01
             98 :   .14032D+01 ->   .14034D+01
            123 :   .14034D+01 ->   .14181D+01
            208 :   .14181D+01 ->   .14188D+01
            233 :   .14188D+01 ->   .14377D+01
            234 :   .14377D+01 ->   .14404D+01
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA   55
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .23344E+02      .42444E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.0322     .4365     .9897     .2435     .2867
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   47
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .18006E+02      .38310E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .1828    -.1668     .4627     .3995     .2539    -.4196
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA  118
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .99559E+02      .84372E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .4663     .1755     .1328     .2171     .1978
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   253
 0000110000000000000000000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111001000111
 1010011101010001011001001011011100111000000
 delay parameter ND =     3
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
  1.1142 1.5318
 Ordine AR Lungo   14
 Ordine AR Lungo    2
 Ordine AR Lungo   18
 nobs per regime vector NJ
    55   47  118
 sum of squares per regime S2
    23.3442   18.0057   99.5588
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
     9
 MA order nxxq =     3
 subset MA lags
     1   10    3
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     4
 subset AR lags
     7    3    1    4
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     1
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     4
 subset AR lags
     4    6   10    1
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 pooled ssq and var =        .14091E+03      .64049E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.36491E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.80281E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .144039D+01

    End genetic algorithm : iter, iter2 =        300       234
 ixfla1 =     0
     Migliore cromosoma   43  Fitn.Funct.  .14404E+01
 0000110000000000000000000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111001000111
 1010011101010001011001001011011100111000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 Pooled res. sum of squares, criterion     .140909D+03   -.364915D+00
              0 :   .00000D+00 ->   .12880D+01
             38 :   .12880D+01 ->   .13173D+01
             50 :   .13173D+01 ->   .13181D+01
             54 :   .13181D+01 ->   .13186D+01
             60 :   .13186D+01 ->   .13199D+01
             65 :   .13199D+01 ->   .13243D+01
             87 :   .13243D+01 ->   .13314D+01
            101 :   .13314D+01 ->   .13341D+01
            107 :   .13341D+01 ->   .13406D+01
            110 :   .13406D+01 ->   .13529D+01
            122 :   .13529D+01 ->   .13551D+01
            127 :   .13551D+01 ->   .13595D+01
            131 :   .13595D+01 ->   .13614D+01
            157 :   .13614D+01 ->   .13690D+01
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA   45
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .23081E+02      .51290E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.2357    -.2047    -.2180     .5637    -.2496
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   90
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .46085E+02      .51205E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.1920     .1768
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA   85
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .84191E+02      .99048E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .4958     .1621     .2160     .3823
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   238
 0001000000000000000000000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001010010100000
 1111001100000010101111000000
 delay parameter ND =     4
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
  1.0039 1.8202
 Ordine AR Lungo   14
 Ordine AR Lungo    7
 Ordine AR Lungo   10
 nobs per regime vector NJ
    45   90   85
 sum of squares per regime S2
    23.0806   46.0848   84.1912
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     6    7    1
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
    10
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
     6
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     7   10    1
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 pooled ssq and var =        .15336E+03      .69708E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.31408E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.69097E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .136900D+01

    End genetic algorithm : iter, iter2 =        300       157
 ixfla1 =     0
     Migliore cromosoma   44  Fitn.Funct.  .13690E+01
 0001000000000000000000000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001010010100000
 1111001100000010101111000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 Pooled res. sum of squares, criterion     .153357D+03   -.314078D+00
              0 :   .00000D+00 ->   .12234D+01
              1 :   .12234D+01 ->   .12260D+01
             11 :   .12260D+01 ->   .12945D+01
             15 :   .12945D+01 ->   .12984D+01
             25 :   .12984D+01 ->   .13061D+01
             37 :   .13061D+01 ->   .13129D+01
             45 :   .13129D+01 ->   .13137D+01
             53 :   .13137D+01 ->   .13137D+01
             56 :   .13137D+01 ->   .13187D+01
             57 :   .13187D+01 ->   .13207D+01
             61 :   .13207D+01 ->   .13314D+01
             76 :   .13314D+01 ->   .13318D+01
             78 :   .13318D+01 ->   .13359D+01
             79 :   .13359D+01 ->   .13368D+01
            102 :   .13368D+01 ->   .13387D+01
            113 :   .13387D+01 ->   .13407D+01
            125 :   .13407D+01 ->   .13434D+01
            135 :   .13434D+01 ->   .13473D+01
            168 :   .13473D+01 ->   .13484D+01
            284 :   .13484D+01 ->   .13589D+01
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA   79
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .46653E+02      .59054E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     -.0477     .7615     .4933    -.1932    -.5659    -.6824    -.1254
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   68
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .32411E+02      .47664E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .5184     .0106    -.0629     .7732     .1547
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA   73
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .65905E+02      .90281E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .3919     .2195     .2416     .2513
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   253
 0001010000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000010
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000110101001
 0101001100010010110001001011010100110000000
 delay parameter ND =     5
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
  1.3341 1.9346
 Ordine AR Lungo   20
 Ordine AR Lungo    2
 Ordine AR Lungo   12
 nobs per regime vector NJ
    79   68   73
 sum of squares per regime S2
    46.6527   32.4113   65.9050
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     1    7    3
 MA order nxxq =     3
 subset MA lags
     7    1    6
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     3    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     4
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     6    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 pooled ssq and var =        .14497E+03      .65895E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.30665E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.67463E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .135886D+01

    End genetic algorithm : iter, iter2 =        300       284
 ixfla1 =     0
     Migliore cromosoma   12  Fitn.Funct.  .13589E+01
 0001010000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000010
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000110101001
 0101001100010010110001001011010100110000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 Pooled res. sum of squares, criterion     .144969D+03   -.306648D+00
 Exit genetic algorithm GTARMA : IEXIT     0
 0000100000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000010000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111100001001
 0110001001011010101110000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 ....Regime      1     NHB PER ARMA   33
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .44344E+02      .13437E+01
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .4506     .3567
 ....Regime      2     NHB PER ARMA   85
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .26613E+02      .31310E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
      .7802    -.2059     .1600     .4647    -.1937
 ....Regime      3     NHB PER ARMA  102
 RESIDUAL SSQ, VAR       .83798E+02      .82155E+00
 PARAMETER ESTIMATES
     1.1192     .1142     .1000     .2712
 chromosome vector LCHROM length =   238
 0000100000000000001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000010000000000000000000000000000000
 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111100001001
 0110001001011010101110000000
 delay parameter ND =     2
 number of regimes K =     3
 threshold vector R
   .8168 1.6391
 Ordine AR Lungo   20
 Ordine AR Lungo   18
 Ordine AR Lungo   16
 nobs per regime vector NJ
    33   85  102
 sum of squares per regime S2
    44.3435   26.6134   83.7982
 ARMA subset for each regime
 regime n.     1
 AR order nxxp =     1
 subset AR lags
    10
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 regime n.     2
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     3    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     1
 subset MA lags
     4
 regime n.     3
 AR order nxxp =     3
 subset AR lags
     7    9    1
 MA order nxxq =     0
 subset MA lags
 
 pooled ssq and var =        .15476E+03      .70343E+00
 criterion, NAIC value     1     -.39547E+00
 NAIC/Effettive Osservazioni       -.87004E+02
 adjustment constant c (xeta)       .10000E+01
 Exit FFB =    .148509D+01
 Exit FFB, ifault =     0
 z vfit res      1.417872      2.170831       .000000
 z vfit res      1.683472      1.610023       .401106
 z vfit res      3.990953      1.633870      2.520053
 z vfit res      2.358509      1.427576      -.453088
 z vfit res      2.639671      2.263328       .506132
 z vfit res      2.426590      1.628611       .380800
 z vfit res       .471101      2.114075     -1.999496
 z vfit res     -1.934720      2.083933     -2.533438
 z vfit res     -1.410565      1.728583     -1.393073
 z vfit res       .522000      1.140951       .336268
 z vfit res      -.971607      1.488517     -1.906628
 z vfit res      3.722560      1.960498       .827019
 z vfit res      3.344317      1.825496       .008690
 z vfit res      6.008935      2.080628      2.434814
 z vfit res      3.687352      1.344587      1.212642
 z vfit res      4.835153      1.917292      1.184384
 z vfit res      2.391743      1.694619       .146987
 z vfit res      2.046855      1.537098       .271413
 z vfit res      1.322618      1.920019      -.284209
 z vfit res       .881564      2.243339      -.805306
 z vfit res       .282726      2.225856      -.758061
 z vfit res      1.763023      2.415043      -.084459
 z vfit res      3.489043      1.656277       .246266
 z vfit res      1.857803      1.869918       .081914
 z vfit res       .968214      2.041117     -1.000618
 z vfit res      -.286869      2.045357     -2.208757
 z vfit res     -1.367363      2.466270      -.715529
 z vfit res      -.132468      2.177118      -.488572
 z vfit res       .211864      1.890583      -.901458
 z vfit res      1.261846      1.848822       .045333
 z vfit res      2.323885      2.162073      1.772437
 z vfit res      3.313556      1.802072       .844272
 z vfit res      2.028665      1.835194      -.142166
 z vfit res      2.059460      1.519114       .449437
 z vfit res      1.552242      1.882282      -.081628
 z vfit res       .604934      1.933311      -.822641
 z vfit res      1.359311      1.682244       .746932
 z vfit res      1.160291      2.084029       .756934
 z vfit res      1.904393      2.312388       .466070
 z vfit res      2.129842      2.145587       .216381
 z vfit res       .476811      2.779649     -1.786518
 z vfit res      1.523471      2.177357      -.105140
 z vfit res     -1.199672      2.089772     -2.373862
 z vfit res     -1.607682      2.002563     -1.923906
 z vfit res       .893934      2.245770      -.110325
 z vfit res      2.909296      2.376248      2.242923
 z vfit res      2.765536      1.928855      -.342902
 z vfit res      2.130546      2.379691       .016472
 z vfit res      2.576441      2.568168       .492508
 z vfit res       .195465      2.339574     -1.533118
 z vfit res       .816807      2.146388      -.324144
 z vfit res      2.600032      1.908953      1.606034
 z vfit res      -.132188      2.302503      -.154894
 z vfit res       .546501      2.419814      -.942016
 z vfit res      -.963089      2.616535     -1.732543
 z vfit res       .850265      2.654953      -.638029
 z vfit res      2.030054      2.198727       .593036
 z vfit res      1.935426      2.183146      -.379304
 z vfit res      2.358937      3.078680       .398440
 z vfit res      2.356336      2.370473       .530839
 z vfit res      1.285475      2.710445      -.795153
 z vfit res      1.168218      2.284646      -.176369
 z vfit res       .671031      2.404550      -.032228
 z vfit res      1.477083      2.471074       .926924
 z vfit res      1.390615      2.558908      1.283525
 z vfit res      2.074196      2.278044       .474669
 z vfit res      1.531810      2.086253      -.255809
 z vfit res      2.568210      2.943461       .650919
 z vfit res      1.365312      2.918284      -.309596
 z vfit res      1.762292      1.917572       .067673
 z vfit res       .708072      1.541949      -.583844
 z vfit res      3.011665      2.072208      1.474568
 z vfit res      1.795228      2.114533      1.105279
 z vfit res      2.298952      2.185420       .378933
 z vfit res      2.940992      2.161954       .697652
 z vfit res      3.089251      2.014386       .863395
 z vfit res      1.178896      2.126732     -1.236147
 z vfit res      1.655019      1.907413      -.001259
 z vfit res      1.751271      1.935325       .739447
 z vfit res      1.320959      2.133560      -.548960
 z vfit res       .533205      2.088252     -1.507912
 z vfit res      1.832277      1.902489       .903501
 z vfit res      1.834267      1.824992       .743339
 z vfit res      3.131169      1.880099      1.085813
 z vfit res      2.728910      2.013253       .262641
 z vfit res      1.677965      2.038024      -.499154
 z vfit res      1.820179      1.848144      -.070404
 z vfit res      2.586938      2.000572       .738116
 z vfit res      1.549146      1.634129      -.612927
 z vfit res      2.015588      1.689861       .213515
 z vfit res       .814790      1.655233      -.625852
 z vfit res      1.268516      1.693985      -.566678
 z vfit res      1.580179      1.789633       .475327
 z vfit res      1.659710      1.814619      -.107990
 z vfit res       .151243      1.688309     -1.489649
 z vfit res      4.325598      1.613933      2.806484
 z vfit res      1.899528      1.781239       .799701
 z vfit res      1.724636      1.647244      -.157646
 z vfit res      1.110448      1.701350      -.822863
 z vfit res      3.326004      1.739799      1.643760
 z vfit res      2.911390      1.735000       .892751
 z vfit res      1.966434      1.751504      -.117594
 z vfit res      2.929178      1.621137       .616790
 z vfit res      3.801472      1.772723      1.655886
 z vfit res      2.733872      1.295757      -.045776
 z vfit res      1.542521      1.329890      -.634836
 z vfit res      2.911771      1.361434       .822000
 z vfit res      1.202888      1.352799      -.244488
 z vfit res      2.536563      1.347475       .534001
 z vfit res      1.828373      1.258481       .043060
 z vfit res      2.403993      1.288568       .158223
 z vfit res       .934260      1.336877     -1.441989
 z vfit res      2.239413      1.641053       .310558
 z vfit res      3.572676      1.649304      1.683067
 z vfit res      3.201166      1.709779       .821476
 z vfit res      3.286627      1.644569       .718459
 z vfit res      1.840101      1.668601      -.499473
 z vfit res      1.844599      1.663844      -.301789
 z vfit res      2.533937      1.663844       .624985
 z vfit res      2.947102      1.663844       .644599
 z vfit res      3.347614      1.663844       .927800
 z vfit res      2.961631      1.663844       .345096
 z vfit res      2.025446      1.663844      -.629507
 z vfit res      1.934584      1.663844      -.264143
 z vfit res      5.479902      1.663844      3.296756
 z vfit res      2.692867      1.663844      -.385813
 z vfit res      3.523620      1.663844      1.153147
 z vfit res      1.963711      1.663844      -.746734
 z vfit res      2.652339      1.663844       .367693
 z vfit res      3.078233      1.663844       .673683
 z vfit res      2.254536      1.663844      -.216538
 z vfit res      2.425916      1.663844      -.132992
 z vfit res       .061528      1.663844     -2.216516
 z vfit res      1.998849      1.663844      -.087404
 z vfit res      4.310623      1.663844      1.905445
 z vfit res      4.613701      1.663844      1.670241
 z vfit res      1.016613      1.663844     -1.901671
 z vfit res      3.017307      1.663844      1.099735
 z vfit res       .701648      1.663844      -.654106
 z vfit res      -.353313      1.663844     -1.895262
 z vfit res      1.876170      1.663844       .621416
 z vfit res       .834438      1.805246      -.481443
 z vfit res      1.117800       .823337      -.954408
 z vfit res      2.023259      1.401909       .121330
 z vfit res      2.999937      1.169092       .833536
 z vfit res      2.967743       .949801       .853210
 z vfit res      2.796396      -.120436       .610976
 z vfit res      3.079930      -.126909       .917976
 z vfit res      2.552718      -.104319       .538332
 z vfit res      1.746912      -.138354      -.379820
 z vfit res      1.334096      -.119988      -.573317
 z vfit res      1.858604      -.157637      -.076721
 z vfit res      1.456697      -.087710      -.060574
 z vfit res      1.842914      -.106006      -.290646
 z vfit res      1.467291      -.181256      -.298512
 z vfit res      1.375739      -.149691      -.712513
 z vfit res       .761956      -.173229      -.815783
 z vfit res      1.566600       .679496       .348699
 z vfit res      1.003858       .660446      -.357251
 z vfit res      1.522822       .825346       .140736
 z vfit res      1.714867       .696517       .294695
 z vfit res      1.629514       .728677       .153098
 z vfit res      2.490424       .210162       .587934
 z vfit res      1.435669       .681760      -.237889
 z vfit res      2.159860      1.606045       .334867
 z vfit res      1.586917      1.606045       .137098
 z vfit res      2.122970      1.606045       .242871
 z vfit res      2.049121      1.606045       .445425
 z vfit res      1.707145      1.606045      -.306108
 z vfit res      1.482583      1.606045      -.555442
 z vfit res       .984630      1.606045      -.863514
 z vfit res      2.200640      1.606045       .970897
 z vfit res      1.559668      1.606045      -.259262
 z vfit res       .832078      1.606045     -1.168494
 z vfit res       .315977      1.606045      -.776228
 z vfit res       .377522      1.606045      -.345735
 z vfit res      1.189230      1.606045      -.018596
 z vfit res      1.133989      1.606045      -.047497
 z vfit res      1.093517      1.606045      -.444077
 z vfit res      1.581214      1.606045       .309575
 z vfit res      1.659412      1.606045       .022275
 z vfit res      1.433047      1.606045      -.151792
 z vfit res      1.627686      1.606045      -.006443
 z vfit res       .900549      1.606045      -.252703
 z vfit res      1.086598      1.606045       .159403
 z vfit res      1.073430      1.606045      -.152448
 z vfit res      1.628355      1.606045       .283250
 z vfit res      1.587865       .773086       .051100
 z vfit res      1.771221      1.088828       .193251
 z vfit res      1.196710      1.340241      -.461271
 z vfit res      1.608510      1.588225      -.081352
 z vfit res       .950106      1.226095      -.460066
 z vfit res       .693848       .946836      -.332952
 z vfit res      1.114158      1.078679       .100408
 z vfit res      1.349064       .834063       .510891
 z vfit res      1.337620      -.019746      -.194292
 z vfit res      1.977300      -.007822       .508228
 z vfit res      1.135308       .001207      -.529308
 z vfit res      1.695295      -.023556       .040063
 z vfit res      1.300065      -.042333      -.161819
 z vfit res      1.792637      -.049317       .098652
 z vfit res      1.498164       .005854       .052336
 z vfit res      1.052182      -.018797      -.737451
 z vfit res      1.209464      -.089067       .085686
 z vfit res      1.099888      -.061920      -.131892
 z vfit res      1.540575      -.092088       .184800
 z vfit res      2.036302      1.647703       .445243
 z vfit res      1.454140      1.647703      -.323389
 z vfit res      1.182548      1.647703      -.632071
 z vfit res      1.599128      1.647703       .442295
 z vfit res      2.234630      1.647703       .839995
 z vfit res      1.003945      1.647703      -.724818
 z vfit res      2.464128      1.647703       .775819
 z vfit res       .643988      1.647703      -.854178
 z vfit res      1.353262      1.647703      -.260671
 z vfit res       .208915      1.647703      -.791183
 z vfit res      1.407809      1.647703       .551804
 z vfit res      -.180824      1.647703     -1.150092
 z vfit res      1.258955      1.647703       .308563
 z vfit res       .824264      1.647703      -.196718
 z vfit res       .802482      1.287041      -.504402
 z vfit res      1.069979      1.590339      -.440863
 z vfit res       .770115      1.660121      -.559396
 z vfit res       .992090      1.295591      -.235320
 z vfit res      1.211982      1.030278       .278695
 z vfit res      2.211318      1.076589       .830885
 z vfit res      1.639144       .965102      -.043663
 z vfit res      1.718677       .266641      -.062562
 z vfit res      1.327018       .048494       .125651
 z vfit res      1.531511       .814994      -.115734
 z vfit res      1.395511       .823571       .017365
 z vfit res      2.183636       .823243       .898146
 z vfit res      1.009598       .731229      -.667628
 z vfit res      1.851461       .731083       .150111
 z vfit res      1.125277       .580765      -.403925
 z vfit res      2.055819       .579832       .316020
 z vfit res      1.193840       .581915      -.531882
 z vfit res       .679338       .595593     -1.055662
 z vfit res      1.238342       .661112       .284688
 z vfit res      1.280212       .573101       .283347
 z vfit res      1.530847       .614816      -.082418
 z vfit res      1.725905       .618354       .103966
 z vfit res      1.414007       .631335      -.109498
 z vfit res       .156190       .613889     -1.595313
 z vfit res       .560137       .765116      -.243241
 z vfit res       .551578       .721446      -.632297
 z vfit res     -1.736562       .744186     -2.612987
 z vfit res     -1.227906       .440711     -1.920818
 z vfit res      -.239116       .724798     -1.131414
 z vfit res       .838247       .000000      -.068985
 EXIT GTARMA : PARAMETER ESTIMATES 
 No. of regimes k =     3
 OBSERVATIONS SUM OF SQUARES SSQL =    .219340D+03
 OBSERVATIONS VARIANCE =    .100155D+01
 RESIDUAL SUM OF SQUARES SSQ =    .154755D+03
 RESIDUAL variance, Oss. eff. =    .703432D+00  220
 //
 AIC =     Numero parametri  -.593923D+02    8
